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PAGASA to use artificial intelligence

PAGASA to use artificial intelligence

Victoria Tulad,

ABS-CBN News

 | 

Updated Sep 11, 2024 03:05 PM PHT

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A PAGASA forecaster points the location of a typhoon.
Manny Palmero, ABS-CBN News/File  

MANILA – PAGASA will soon use artificial intelligence in weather forecasting, the Department of Science and Technology (DOST) said Wednesday. 

During the Senate budget hearing of the DOST and its attached agencies which includes the state weather bureau, Science Secretary Renato Solidum Jr. said AI would be employed to better provide the public with information. 

“Instead of every three hours computation, every 15 minutes po ang aming target [of weather forecast],” Solidum said.

(Instead of every three hours computation, we target every 15 minutes.)

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AI will also help PAGASA to forecast the weather for the next 14 days instead of the current 5 days. 

As for doppler radars, PAGASA Administrator Nathaniel Servando said only 11 of the 19 radars were operational  after some were damaged or were due to be replaced. The country needs 21 doppler radars which are used to detect rainfall, he noted. 

Sen. Juan Miguel Zubiri, Chair of the Senate Subcommittee, expressed support for procuring more doppler radars.  

But he questioned why the forecasts in certain parts of the country were inaccurate. 

“Bakit sa ibang bansa, ASEAN and Europe, they can detect rain at particular times of the day?” Zubiri asked. “Dito sa atin parang di nape-predict daily.”  

According to Solidum, it is easier to forecast the weather in a continent compared to an archipelago. 

He added that PAGASA does impact-based forecasting. More than determining if it will rain, this approach determines what the effects of the rain are so that proper response can be done. 

“PAGASA produces several rainfall warning, 24 hour rainfall forecast, dapat yung disaster manager should read the forecast for the area,” Solidum said. “What is lacking is the actual standard operating procedure to be done in local level.” 

He added that PAGASA does impact-based forecasting. More than determining if it will rain, this approach determines what the effects of the rain are so that proper response can be done. 

“PAGASA produces several rainfall warning, 24 hour rainfall forecast, dapat yung disaster manager should read the forecast for the area,” Solidum said. “What is lacking is the actual standard operating procedure to be done in local level.” 

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