Typhoons may continue until first quarter of 2025: PAGASA | ABS-CBN

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Typhoons may continue until first quarter of 2025: PAGASA

Typhoons may continue until first quarter of 2025: PAGASA

Raphael Bosano,

ABS-CBN News

 | 

Updated Nov 20, 2024 06:32 PM PHT

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Totally wrecked homes are seen along the coastline in Balete, Batangas on October 28, 2024, days after severe tropical storm Kristine ravaged the southern part of Luzon. Jonathan Cellona, ABS-CBN News/FileTotally wrecked homes are seen along the coastline in Balete, Batangas on October 28, 2024, days after severe tropical storm Kristine ravaged the southern part of Luzon. Jonathan Cellona, ABS-CBN News/FileMANILA — Typhoons entering, and possibly battering, the country may last until the first quarter of 2025, according to state weather bureau PAGASA. 

In a press conference Tuesday, Analiza Solis, PAGASA’s Chief of the Climate Monitoring and Prediction Section, explained that the prevailing La Niña-like conditions is seen as one of the factors why the formation of clouds in the western section of the Pacific Ocean continues. 

“Usually mga zero or slim chance 'yung pag-develop ng bagyo pagdating ng January, February, March. Pero ngayon nakikita natin [na] may possibility kada buwan meron until March 2025,” she said. 

(There is usually zero to slim chances of typhoons developing by January, February and March. But now we are seeing the possibility of at least one typhoon every month until March 2025.) 

La Niña or similar conditions, are characterized warmer sea surface temperatures near the Philippines, allowing for evaporation and convection to happen near the country.

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The seemingly unending series of typhoons this year has taken a toll on vulnerable communities, interrupted processes that promote food supply, and hampered recovery efforts.

Based on data from the Department of Agriculture following the onslaught of Typhoons Kristine and Marce, total agricultural damage has reached around P10.8 billion pesos. This figure includes damage to agricultural infrastructure. 

Rice is the most affected produce with damage amounting to P6 billion or around 60% of the total damage. Some of those damaged are already maturing or harvestable crops which still become losses when ravaged by a typhoon, greatly affecting local production.

“This may result in a decrease in local production. That would require us to also maybe increase the imports. This usually happens when supply from local sources is low,” said Ralp Ceniza from the Department of Agricultures’ Filed Programs and Planning Division. 

Ceniza says they are now looking into the possibility of adjusting cropping season to avoid damage and destruction to much needed agricultural produce. 

“Ito yung pag adjust nga ng planting sa less vulnerable months. Given na 'yung pag-uulan natin ay pumapatak ng June, July ang harvesting naman ay pumapatak ng September, October, November na meron namang mga bagyo.” 

(This means adjusting cropping season to leass vulnerable months. If cropping is done in June or July, this means harvesting will happen on September, October and November when typhoons pass through the country.) 

Ceniza says the DA is now assessing different areas and looking at other factors like water supply and irrigation measures to ensure that a shift in cropping cycles will be sustainable in the long run.

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